The Dynamics of Agri - Food Trade Patterns - The Accession Countries ’ Case

نویسنده

  • L. J. Hubbard
چکیده

We describe the evolving pattern of Central European countries’ agri-food trade using recently developed empirical procedures based around the classic Balassa index and its symmetric transformation. The extent of trade specialisation exhibits a declining trend; Central European countries have lost comparative advantage for a number of product groups over time. The indices of specialisation have also tended to converge. For particular product groups, the indices display greater variation. They are stable for product groups with comparative disadvantage, but product groups with weak to strong comparative advantage show significant variation. The results reinforce the finding of a general decrease in specialisation, but do not support the idea of selfreinforcing mechanisms, emphasised strongly in much of the endogenous growth and trade literature.

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تاریخ انتشار 2003